In less than two weeks, we'll see a rematch four years in the making when the Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers rumble for the Lombardi Trophy once again. This time around, "Fabulous" Las Vegas and Allegiant Stadium will serve as the backdrop.
With the dust settling from the respective conference title bids, here are my three Same Game Parlays (SGP) to consider for a shot at dynamic winnings on Super Bowl LVIII.
All NFL odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. Lines may change after this article is published.
Same Game Parlays for the Super Bowl
Same Game Parlay No. 1
Leg 1: 49ers Moneyline (-130)
Leg 2: Over 47.5 (-105)
Starting simply, here is a two-leg SGP consisting of one side and one total.
San Francisco opened as the favorite for Super Bowl LVIII, and the line has held fairly steady despite 70% of the spread bets and 77% of the money on the spread coming in on the KC side, via the data at FanDuel Sportsbook.
San Francisco's current moneyline number (-130 odds) may lengthen as the Super Bowl draws closer. Nevertheless, I think the 49ers will continue to show title-level resolve and resilience.
Between offense and defense, S.F. is returning seven starters from that Super Bowl LIV loss in 2020: Nick Bosa, Fred Warner, Arik Armstead, Dre Greenlaw, George Kittle, Deebo Samuel and Kyle Juszczyk. Along with many talented newcomers, those with previous Super Bowl experience will need to lead the way for the Niners.
According to numberFire, San Francisco is projected to defeat Kansas City by a score of 25.99-24.00. Of course, a score of that nature would provide a winning SGP here, as it also goes over the set total of 47.5 points with more than two points of cushion.
numberFire's NFL power rankings offer further support for the boys from the Bay. There, the 49ers (12.36 nERD) are rated as the league's top team while the Chiefs (6.63 nERD) show up at No. 5 overall.
ESPN's Matchup Predictor presents San Francisco with a winning probability of 59.4%.
In short, there's a reason the Niners are favored, and with Patrick Mahomes on one side and the NFL's top-ranked offense -- per numberFire's schedule-adjusted metrics -- on the other side, 48 points isn't too high of a bar to reach.
Same Game Parlay No. 2
Leg 1: Brandon Aiyuk Over 4.5 Receptions (-104)
Leg 2: Patrick Mahomes Over 262.5 Passing Yards (-110)
Leg 3: Christian McCaffrey Over 18.5 Rush Attempts (-122)
This SGP leans on the individual performance of three separate offensive superstars.
In last weekend's NFC title game, 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk served as the game changer. While tracking a deep ball down the seam from quarterback Brock Purdy, Aiyuk executed the tip drill perfectly, hauling in the ricocheted pass off Lions cornerback Kindle Vidor's facemask to move the ball inside the five-yard line. Aiyuk's circus catch led to two San Francisco touchdowns in just 2:15 of clock time.
The Arizona State Sun Devils alum has an approachable reception prop of 4.5 total catches (-104/-118) for the upcoming Super Bowl. Despite Kansas City's top-tier secondary group, I think Aiyuk's high-end athleticism will give him a favorable matchup versus any player. As the 49ers' leading receiver in just about every category this year, B.A. should see volume.
For our second leg, Mahomes is once again playing lights-out football. In Super Bowl LVIII (Mahomes' fourth time competing for the Lombardi), the Chiefs' signal-caller has a passing prop of 262.5 yards (-110/-110).
That number is noticeably larger than Purdy's set mark of 245.5, but after all, this is "Showtime" Mahomes. As a two-time world champion, Mahomes has played in 17 postseason bids. In those games, he has averaged 282.5 yards through the air -- well above this line. While the Niners' D is solid, we saw Jared Goff and the Lions have plenty of success on offense. Plus, this game being indoors -- as a stadium Mahomes visits each year -- doesn't hurt.
The last leg of this SGP depends on Christian McCaffrey. Rather than eyeing total yardage, I believe it is more wise to take CMC for over 18.5 rushing attempts (-122/+100). Keep in mind: attempts cannot be subtracted by a negative on-field play like yardage can.
San Francisco will likely look to lean on the ground game in this matchup with the Chiefs as KC ranks fifth-worst in schedule-adjusted run D, compared to second-best versus the pass. With McCaffrey earning his first rushing title in 2023, the 49ers boasted the second-ranked rushing attack.
CMC has averaged 17.2 carries per game through 18 games played this season (including playoffs). With the Niners going for all the marbles, I anticipate that San Francisco coach Kyle Shanahan will feed McCaffrey early and often. I like the dynamic tailback to tout the rock for 19 or more rushing attempts.
Same Game Parlay No. 3 (FanDuel Sportsbook's NFL Super Bowl 58 SGP)
Leg 1: Brock Purdy Over 250.0 Passing Yards (-102)
Leg 2: Patrick Mahomes Over 250 Passing Yards (-166)
Leg 3: Travis Kelce Any Time Touchdown (+105)
Leg 4: Christian McCaffrey Any Time Touchdown (-220)
Here we have FanDuel Sportsbook's official NFL Super Bowl 58 Same Game Parlay.
To most conveniently locate this pre-built SGP, head to FanDuel Sportsbook's Super Bowl tab. From there, slide through the top banners until you see a "Super Bowl LVIII SGP" tile with the respective logos of the 49ers and Chiefs. A four-legger, this parlay combines two any time touchdown scorers with two passing props.
This SGP is playing an alternate passing total for both Mahomes and Purdy. With the starting quarterbacks using the same mark of 250 yards, it is not at all unlikely that these signal-callers push each other over this threshold with the Lombardi Trophy on the line. If we liked Mahomes over 262.5 in the last section, we should feel really good about him to clear 250, and numberFire's model has Purdy throwing for 261.6 yards.
From there, we see touchdown plays on McCaffrey (-220 odds) as well as Chiefs superstar tight end Travis Kelce (+105 odds). Being that these are "Any Time" wagers, these TD props will cash so long as CMC and Kelce find the end zone for six at any point and in any fashion.
Notably, McCaffrey has led the league in all-purpose touchdowns for 2023-24, scoring 25 times over 18 starts; that is a 49ers single-season record. Next, Kelce is once again proving his best performances come out in the playoffs. The Cincinnati Bearcats alum has hauled in three touchdowns this postseason. Further out, Taylor Swift's boyfriend has scored 19 touchdowns in 21 lifetime playoff contests.
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The above author is a FanDuel employee and is not eligible to compete in public daily fantasy contests or place sports betting wagers on FanDuel. The advice provided by the author does not necessarily represent the views of FanDuel. Taking the author's advice will not guarantee a successful outcome. You should use your own judgment when participating in daily fantasy contests or placing sports wagers.
